I’ve been following Gian’s writing for a while now and he has this ability to distill philosophical undercurrents of tech into clean, first-principles insights. This guy stands out in a sea of noise. Loved his latest post as well https://giansegato.com/essays/probabilistic-era
We are moving from a world of deterministic builders to probabilistic orchestrators. In the old playbook, product outcomes could be forecasted, modeled, and optimized like clockwork.
But in this new probabilistic era, systems learn, self-adapt, and evolve in ways their creators cannot fully predict.
Our instinct is to control these systems > to pin down a model’s behavior, to tighten feedback loops, to design away uncertainty. Yet some products thrive precisely because they are let loose.
The messiness becomes the mechanism. The randomness becomes the fuel.
As builders, our job is shifting from designing perfect machines to tuning the conditions for emergence.
Instead of asking, How do I control this? ask, How do I create the right environment for good chaos?
When you release something probabilistic into the world, you are not launching a tool. You are launching a living organism.
And sometimes, the best leadership is to let it find its own rhythm.